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Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024: GAAP revenue was $2.21B with GAAP diluted EPS of $0.28; on a pro forma basis, revenue was $3.57B and Adjusted EBITDA was $277M with a 7.8% margin .
- Year over year, pro forma revenue was roughly flat (down 1%) and pro forma EBITDA margin compressed modestly vs Q4 2023 (7.8% vs 8.0%); GAAP EPS improved from $(0.07) to $0.28, aided by higher operating income and tax benefit .
- Backlog ended FY24 at $45.0B (funded $7.6B); management cited book-to-bill below 1.0x in Q4 given awards under protest and JV dynamics not reflected in backlog (e.g., Hanford) .
- FY25 guidance affirmed: revenue $13.8–$14.2B, Adjusted EBITDA $1.06–$1.10B, Adjusted diluted EPS $2.00–$2.20, FCF $475–$525M; modeling assumptions: ~24% non‑GAAP tax rate, $355–$365M interest, $510–$520M D&A, ~244M diluted shares; sequential quarterly increases expected in FY25 .
- Strategic/catalyst setup: integration of Jacobs CMS/C&I, robust pipeline ($23B submissions pending; ~80% new), international/nuclear and intelligence opportunities, and segment reporting from FY25 (Digital Solutions; Global Engineering Solutions) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Pro forma performance met/exceeded Capital Markets Day expectations: FY24 pro forma revenue $13.9B (+4%) and Adjusted EBITDA $1.05B (+7%); CEO: “We reported strong results for fiscal year 2024…” .
- Strong strategic positioning and scale post-merger with CMS/C&I; CEO underscored “one of the strongest advanced engineering and technology companies” .
- Pipeline/backlog support: $45.0B ending backlog (3.2x coverage); $23B of pending awards (~80% new); multiple marquee wins across DOE, defense, UK hypersonics .
- Management affirmed FY25 guide and introduced Adjusted EPS framework with clear modeling inputs (tax/interest/D&A/shares) .
- AI and digital engineering traction across defense, intel, commercial; COO: “we’ve formalized 9 centers of excellence,” enabling larger digital enterprise bids .
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What Went Wrong
- Q4 book-to-bill <1.0x; management cited recomputes under protest and pending adjudications as timing headwinds .
- Q4 cash from operations was negative ($113M) on working capital/tax timing; FY24 CFO was $47M; seasonality and timing expected to drive stronger 2H cash in FY25 .
- Program ramp-downs (e.g., Cytec) and JV backlog accounting (Hanford not included) obscure near-term booking metrics; management emphasized visibility from recompetes and pipeline .
- Interest expense remained a meaningful P&L headwind; in Q4 “interest expense and other, net” was $108M .
Financial Results
Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023 (GAAP and Pro Forma)
Note: GAAP operating income for Q4 2023 and Q4 2024 per the 8‑K consolidated statements is $80M and $27M, respectively (see footnote detail in 8‑K). The table above uses the 8‑K Q4 figures: $80M (Q4 2023) and $27M (Q4 2024) .
Sequential Operating Trend (Pro Forma; post-spin reporting)
Segment View (FY25 reporting introduced; not applicable to Q4 FY24)
KPIs and Cash
Guidance Changes
Note: Segment reporting (Digital Solutions; Global Engineering Solutions) begins in FY25 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We reported strong results for fiscal year 2024, delivering top‑line and bottom‑line growth… [the] merger… create[s] one of the strongest advanced engineering and technology companies in the industry.”
- CEO: “We are pleased to report strong pro forma financial results above our Capital Markets Day expectations… net bookings totaled $12 billion.”
- COO: “We’ve formalized 9 centers of excellence and… mobilized a set of experts across emerging technology areas… creating higher win rates and solutions customers need.”
- CFO: “We are affirming guidance… revenues $13.8–$14.2B; Adjusted EBITDA $1.06–$1.10B; Adjusted EPS $2.00–$2.20. Modeling: ~24% tax; $355–$365M interest; $510–$520M D&A; ~244M diluted shares; sequential increases expected in FY25.”
Q&A Highlights
- Budget/CR and portfolio exposure: Management expects CR to extend into Feb–Apr and emphasized portfolio concentration in national security missions with limited civilian exposure; work typically continues through shutdowns .
- Deleveraging and synergies: FY24 net leverage ended slightly better than expected; opportunities from DSO/working capital and synergy execution could accelerate progress toward ~3.0x by FY26 .
- Nuclear/energy and AI: Significant near‑term opportunities in DOE/NNSA and European energy transition; AI use cases span intel/defense/commercial with strong cyber posture for critical missions .
- New business and pipeline composition: Only ~8% of FY25 revenue assumed from new wins; diversified across many opportunities; ~$35B FY25 submissions planned .
- Backlog accounting: Hanford JV not included in backlog though economic contribution is contemplated; clarifies JV backlog recognition nuances .
- Book‑to‑bill: Q4 <1.0x due to protests and pending awards; goal to expand bid volume and consistency post‑integration .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to retrieve S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus (EPS/Revenue) for Q4 2024 and FY2024; however, access was rate‑limited during this session, so consensus comparisons are unavailable at this time. As a result, vs‑consensus beats/misses cannot be shown for Q4 2024 (Values retrieved from S&P Global would be used here if available).*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mixed Q4 optics, solid FY setup: Q4 pro forma results were stable with slight yoy margin compression; bookings timing drove <1.0x book‑to‑bill, but $23B pending awards and JV dynamics suggest upside to flows as protests resolve .
- Guidance reiterated with clearer EPS bridge: FY25 revenue/EBITDA/FCF guide held; Adjusted EPS framework and explicit tax/interest/D&A/share assumptions increase modeling confidence; sequential ramp through FY25 is expected .
- Synergy and deleveraging levers intact: Balance sheet terming and margin focus support the ~3.0x net leverage target by FY26; working capital and higher‑end EBITDA performance could accelerate the path .
- Structural growth vectors: Nuclear/environmental (Hanford, UK/Europe), intelligence enterprise IT/data analytics, and digital engineering (MBSE/AI) position Amentum for larger, higher‑quality contract wins .
- Segment transparency from FY25: Digital Solutions and Global Engineering Solutions reporting should highlight mix/margin dynamics; early FY25 prints show DS outgrowth and stable consolidated margins .
- Watch catalysts: resolution of protested recompetes, conversion of $23B pending bids, AUKUS/UK programs, DOE/NNSA awards, and progress on cash generation in 2H FY25 per normal seasonality .
- Risk checks: Budget/CR evolution, interest expense headwinds, JV accounting nuances (backlog optics), and ramp‑downs (e.g., Cytec) remain monitoring items .
Citations:
- Q4/FY24 8‑K press release and exhibits
- Q4 2024 call transcript (other‑transcript)
- Q4 2024 earnings slides
- Q1 2025 8‑K press release
- Q2 2025 8‑K press release
- Q3 2025 8‑K press release (for trend context)
Estimate retrieval note:
- Attempted S&P Global estimates fetch returned a rate‑limit error during this session (no usable estimate data retrieved).*