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Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024: GAAP revenue was $2.21B with GAAP diluted EPS of $0.28; on a pro forma basis, revenue was $3.57B and Adjusted EBITDA was $277M with a 7.8% margin .
  • Year over year, pro forma revenue was roughly flat (down 1%) and pro forma EBITDA margin compressed modestly vs Q4 2023 (7.8% vs 8.0%); GAAP EPS improved from $(0.07) to $0.28, aided by higher operating income and tax benefit .
  • Backlog ended FY24 at $45.0B (funded $7.6B); management cited book-to-bill below 1.0x in Q4 given awards under protest and JV dynamics not reflected in backlog (e.g., Hanford) .
  • FY25 guidance affirmed: revenue $13.8–$14.2B, Adjusted EBITDA $1.06–$1.10B, Adjusted diluted EPS $2.00–$2.20, FCF $475–$525M; modeling assumptions: ~24% non‑GAAP tax rate, $355–$365M interest, $510–$520M D&A, ~244M diluted shares; sequential quarterly increases expected in FY25 .
  • Strategic/catalyst setup: integration of Jacobs CMS/C&I, robust pipeline ($23B submissions pending; ~80% new), international/nuclear and intelligence opportunities, and segment reporting from FY25 (Digital Solutions; Global Engineering Solutions) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Pro forma performance met/exceeded Capital Markets Day expectations: FY24 pro forma revenue $13.9B (+4%) and Adjusted EBITDA $1.05B (+7%); CEO: “We reported strong results for fiscal year 2024…” .
    • Strong strategic positioning and scale post-merger with CMS/C&I; CEO underscored “one of the strongest advanced engineering and technology companies” .
    • Pipeline/backlog support: $45.0B ending backlog (3.2x coverage); $23B of pending awards (~80% new); multiple marquee wins across DOE, defense, UK hypersonics .
    • Management affirmed FY25 guide and introduced Adjusted EPS framework with clear modeling inputs (tax/interest/D&A/shares) .
    • AI and digital engineering traction across defense, intel, commercial; COO: “we’ve formalized 9 centers of excellence,” enabling larger digital enterprise bids .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Q4 book-to-bill <1.0x; management cited recomputes under protest and pending adjudications as timing headwinds .
    • Q4 cash from operations was negative ($113M) on working capital/tax timing; FY24 CFO was $47M; seasonality and timing expected to drive stronger 2H cash in FY25 .
    • Program ramp-downs (e.g., Cytec) and JV backlog accounting (Hanford not included) obscure near-term booking metrics; management emphasized visibility from recompetes and pipeline .
    • Interest expense remained a meaningful P&L headwind; in Q4 “interest expense and other, net” was $108M .

Financial Results

Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023 (GAAP and Pro Forma)

MetricQ4 2023Q4 2024
GAAP Revenue ($B)$2.14 $2.21
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.07) $0.28
Pro Forma Revenue ($B)$3.60 $3.57
Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$288 $277
Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)8.0% 7.8%
Pro Forma Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.59 $0.47
GAAP Operating Income ($M)$89 (Operating income $115 minus reconciliations; GAAP Q4 2023 operating income shown) → $89?$27

Note: GAAP operating income for Q4 2023 and Q4 2024 per the 8‑K consolidated statements is $80M and $27M, respectively (see footnote detail in 8‑K). The table above uses the 8‑K Q4 figures: $80M (Q4 2023) and $27M (Q4 2024) .

Sequential Operating Trend (Pro Forma; post-spin reporting)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Pro Forma Revenue ($B)$3.57 $3.42 $3.49
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$277 $262 $268
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)7.8% 7.7% 7.7%
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.47 $0.51 $0.53

Segment View (FY25 reporting introduced; not applicable to Q4 FY24)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025
Digital Solutions Revenue ($B)$1.29 $1.34
Global Engineering Solutions Revenue ($B)$2.06 $2.15
Digital Solutions Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$100 $107
Global Engineering Solutions Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$162 $161

KPIs and Cash

KPI / Cash MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Backlog ($B)$45.0 $45.2 $44.8
Funded Backlog ($B)$7.6 $6.6 $5.8
Book-to-Bill (x)<1.0x (quarter) 1.1x (quarter) 1.0x YTD
Cash from Operations ($M)$(113) $110 $57
Free Cash Flow ($M)n/a (definition provided) $102 $53
Cash & Equivalents ($M)$452 $522 $546
Gross Debt ($B)$4.64 $4.68 $4.68

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY2025$13.8–$14.2B $13.8–$14.2B Maintained
Adjusted EBITDAFY2025$1.06–$1.10B $1.06–$1.10B Maintained
Adjusted Diluted EPSFY2025n/a$2.00–$2.20 Introduced
Free Cash FlowFY2025$475–$525M $475–$525M Maintained
Non‑GAAP Tax RateFY2025~24% modeling input ~24% Maintained
Interest ExpenseFY2025$355–$365M $355–$365M Maintained
D&AFY2025$510–$520M $510–$520M Maintained
Diluted SharesFY2025~244M ~244M Maintained
Quarterly cadenceFY2025“Sequential increases expected” “Sequential increases expected” Maintained

Note: Segment reporting (Digital Solutions; Global Engineering Solutions) begins in FY25 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q‑2 and Q‑1)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
AI / Digital engineeringDS +1–3% growth Q1–Q2; segment margins steady; multiple digital/IT IDIQ task orders Broad AI use cases across intel/defense/commercial; 9 Centers of Excellence stood up; targeting larger digital enterprise contracts Strengthening adoption and go‑to‑market scale
Budget/CR / MacroFY25 guidance reaffirmed; slides assume “stable budget environment” Too early to call policy specifics; expect CR to extend into Feb–Apr; portfolio skewed to national security missions Macro watch; portfolio mix mitigates
Backlog / BookingsQ1 book‑to‑bill 1.1x; backlog $45.2B ; Q2 YTD 1.0x Q4 book‑to‑bill <1.0x; $23B submissions pending (~80% new); $2B recompetes under protest; JV awards (Hanford) not in backlog Timing noise but healthy pipeline
Nuclear / EnergyDOE West Valley Demonstration Project JV; Commercial SMR/5G awards Hanford HITDC $45B IDIQ JV; international SMR/AMR opportunities; energy transition capability Expanding international/nuclear
IntelligenceQ2: >$1B intelligence awards; enterprise programs building Combined intel footprint ~ $1.7B; pursuing enterprise mission IT across IC (NRO/NSA/DIA) Scaling to larger IC enterprise
International / AUKUSSizewell C program role; Canada nuclear labs in Q3 CY25 (post‑Q2 mention) AUKUS/UK/Australia expansion; diversified revenue (20%+ int’l + commercial) Broadening international reach

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We reported strong results for fiscal year 2024, delivering top‑line and bottom‑line growth… [the] merger… create[s] one of the strongest advanced engineering and technology companies in the industry.”
  • CEO: “We are pleased to report strong pro forma financial results above our Capital Markets Day expectations… net bookings totaled $12 billion.”
  • COO: “We’ve formalized 9 centers of excellence and… mobilized a set of experts across emerging technology areas… creating higher win rates and solutions customers need.”
  • CFO: “We are affirming guidance… revenues $13.8–$14.2B; Adjusted EBITDA $1.06–$1.10B; Adjusted EPS $2.00–$2.20. Modeling: ~24% tax; $355–$365M interest; $510–$520M D&A; ~244M diluted shares; sequential increases expected in FY25.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Budget/CR and portfolio exposure: Management expects CR to extend into Feb–Apr and emphasized portfolio concentration in national security missions with limited civilian exposure; work typically continues through shutdowns .
  • Deleveraging and synergies: FY24 net leverage ended slightly better than expected; opportunities from DSO/working capital and synergy execution could accelerate progress toward ~3.0x by FY26 .
  • Nuclear/energy and AI: Significant near‑term opportunities in DOE/NNSA and European energy transition; AI use cases span intel/defense/commercial with strong cyber posture for critical missions .
  • New business and pipeline composition: Only ~8% of FY25 revenue assumed from new wins; diversified across many opportunities; ~$35B FY25 submissions planned .
  • Backlog accounting: Hanford JV not included in backlog though economic contribution is contemplated; clarifies JV backlog recognition nuances .
  • Book‑to‑bill: Q4 <1.0x due to protests and pending awards; goal to expand bid volume and consistency post‑integration .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus (EPS/Revenue) for Q4 2024 and FY2024; however, access was rate‑limited during this session, so consensus comparisons are unavailable at this time. As a result, vs‑consensus beats/misses cannot be shown for Q4 2024 (Values retrieved from S&P Global would be used here if available).*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mixed Q4 optics, solid FY setup: Q4 pro forma results were stable with slight yoy margin compression; bookings timing drove <1.0x book‑to‑bill, but $23B pending awards and JV dynamics suggest upside to flows as protests resolve .
  • Guidance reiterated with clearer EPS bridge: FY25 revenue/EBITDA/FCF guide held; Adjusted EPS framework and explicit tax/interest/D&A/share assumptions increase modeling confidence; sequential ramp through FY25 is expected .
  • Synergy and deleveraging levers intact: Balance sheet terming and margin focus support the ~3.0x net leverage target by FY26; working capital and higher‑end EBITDA performance could accelerate the path .
  • Structural growth vectors: Nuclear/environmental (Hanford, UK/Europe), intelligence enterprise IT/data analytics, and digital engineering (MBSE/AI) position Amentum for larger, higher‑quality contract wins .
  • Segment transparency from FY25: Digital Solutions and Global Engineering Solutions reporting should highlight mix/margin dynamics; early FY25 prints show DS outgrowth and stable consolidated margins .
  • Watch catalysts: resolution of protested recompetes, conversion of $23B pending bids, AUKUS/UK programs, DOE/NNSA awards, and progress on cash generation in 2H FY25 per normal seasonality .
  • Risk checks: Budget/CR evolution, interest expense headwinds, JV accounting nuances (backlog optics), and ramp‑downs (e.g., Cytec) remain monitoring items .

Citations:

  • Q4/FY24 8‑K press release and exhibits
  • Q4 2024 call transcript (other‑transcript)
  • Q4 2024 earnings slides
  • Q1 2025 8‑K press release
  • Q2 2025 8‑K press release
  • Q3 2025 8‑K press release (for trend context)

Estimate retrieval note:

  • Attempted S&P Global estimates fetch returned a rate‑limit error during this session (no usable estimate data retrieved).*